Top 10 Forecasts for 2012

I have been into futurism, more than ever before. It is just so exciting to see the latest improvements in technology and its side or direct effects on our daily lives. When I think about the old civilizations that took place thousands of years ago, I cant help but feel grateful for living in 2000ths. By then you would be lucky to live 30 years, finding food was a big issue, and there were a lot of threats to your life. There was no light, no heater, nothing to read and learn. For me it sounds very boring.

When I think about of 50 years ago, still it sounds very boring. By then, it was not that easy to travel to other parts of the world, meeting people from other cultures, listening the music you wanted, watching the movies you liked. Or still if you get a severe disease, you were not very likely to survive easily.

And just think about the moment we live in. You don’t have to wait for the radio to play your favorite song. It is just a few clicks away. Even Youtube can suggest music according to your taste, and you can discover new songs. You can watch your favorite movie online any time you like. You can access a tremendous amount of information anytime. Everything is in abundance. (We hope to use renewable energy more in the future of course, so that we don’t run out of resources)

And when I imagine the future, it gets more and more exciting. Everything will be much easier. Probably there will be no schools, no sick or blind people, no traffic and I imagine there will be no airplane crushes or people dying because of collapsing buildings in earthquakes ­čÖé (I am sure they can find a solution to some of the problems we face currently)

I came across this amazing video on internet. It is prepared by World Future Society. I think it is an incredible source. I encourage everyone to follow it.

According to the video;

  1. Learning will become more social and game based, and online social gaming will soon replace textbooks in schools.
  2. Commercial space tourism will grow significantly the coming decade.
  3. Nanotechnology and biomimicry offer hope for restoring sight. (Can you believe this? People will not have to live blind for whole their lives.)
  4. Future buildings may be more responsive to weather fluctuations.
  5. The end of identity as we know it: It will be easier than ever to create a new identity or identities for ourselves.
  6. Robotic earthworms will gobble up our garbage.
  7. Lunar based solar power production may be the best way to meet future energy demands.
  8. Machine vision will become available in the next 5 to 15 years and grow more sophisticated over time.
  9. The dust bowls of 21th century will dwarf those seen in twentieths. (This is not a good news of course)
  10. Advances in fuel cells will enable deep-sea habitation.

You can watch the video below for more details or you can visit Ray Kurzweil website. There are very valuable information.


How to design for iOS based devices

I think User Experience has became one of the most important concepts used in the digital era. Now everybody (software developers & companies) aims at delivering the highest level of user satisfaction via their products. In my view, the importance of user experience has been overwhelmingly recognized after the success of Apple products.

Steve Jobs has shown us that; when it is easy to use a product, people will enjoy using it and resist switching to other brands. You can view a loyalty research made on mobile devices from this link.

So today I wanted to share a few guidelines on designing user interfaces on iOS devices. I have used Apple’s original guidelines document, and it is fully accessible on this link.

1.An app should fit well on the device. You should make sure that your app looks and feels like it was designed expressly for an iOS based device. If it feels like it was designed for a different device or web, people are less likely to value it.

2.People respond to gestures, not clicks. They tap a button to activate it, or pinch open to zoom in on an image. So an app should use the gestures that people know.

3.You should provide a beautiful, custom app icon that people will enjoy seeing in app store and home screen.

4.Consistency in interface allows user to transfer their knowledge and skills from one application to another. A consistent application is not a copy of other applications, rather it takes advantage of standards.

5.An application should be consistent within itself too. Text should use uniform terminology and style. Same icons should always mean the same thing.

6.Virtual objects and action in an application are metaphors for real world objects. Using metaphors allows users to quickly grasp how to use the app. The most common example is the folder icon. People put things in a folder, so they do the same on PC.

7.An application should give user the maximum control while preventing dangerous outcomes. User may want to stop an operation that is underway or they should get a chance to confirm their intention to perform a potentially destructive action.

Future of Internet

I just watched the video of Roger McNamee on Ted Talk about the future of internet. I find it valuable to share a few words. If you like to read in Turkish, here is a website you can visit.

Windows is Dying

Mcnamee claims that Windows is dying. He says Microsoft can maintain growth with the other types of products but not desktops. To strengthen his assertion he use statistics. 3-4 Years ago Windows were accounted for 90% of internet connected devices. Today this number has decreased to 50%. And it is all because of smart phones.

Enterprise Software is Dying

According to Mcnamee, along with Windows, enterprise software business (such as SAP) also face a fall. They are the business that will fade away and open way for new industries. When I think how big the enterprise software industry is, I cant help but wonder how such companies will change the way of doing their businesses.

Google is no more the dominant player in internet

He continues by saying Google has lost its position as the dominant player in internet and it is impossible to gain it back. Now we have Wikipedia for information, Twitter for real time news, LinkedIn for professional business (etc.) that we use for search instead of Google’s index search. Another point Mcnamee makes is that, it is hard to do index search on mobiles. One other reason on why Google may be losing its leadership on search.

Web is dead, it is apps’ time

Web is dead, and it is apps’ time. People prefer to use value added, beautifully designed apps over “www”. Steve Jobs’ vision changed the game. Mcnamee says, before it was about keeping the balance between Google’s commoditization and Apple apps, but from now on it will be about keeping the balance between highly┬ásheeted┬ácontent (html5) ┬áand Apple apps. He truly believes in html5 and thinks the ability to embed interactivity, video, audio (etc) to webpage without the need for flash boxes will make a huge change for internet.

If you do not own an iPad, you can’t understand what is going on

With his next statement Mcnamee caught my heart. I have always been a big supporter of Apple products. I truly believe that the experience it provides is┬áremarkably different and superior than any other product. He is such brave to say “If you dont have an iPad, you can not understand what is going on there.” Tablet market is growing and iPad is still the market leader, and he says he does not see any other significant players in the market.

Social is just a feature

Finally he ends his words on social media. He sees Facebook as the most powerful social platform, and advice “if you gonna do a start up on social world, build it on top of Facebook, but most important piece of advise is; forget social.”┬áHe says social is just a side show. It is a feature that you should embed in your product.

“Future will be different, we are going from an elevator type of internet (where we go to different places and lose people) to a control panel type of internet. Finally technology is doing us a favor.”